Sunday, March 27, 2011
The situation in Libya, and how it relates do Rwanda and Yemen
If the so called "International Law" gives mandate to the UN Security Council to intervene in internal affairs of sovereign countries, it should be abolished. This principle of non-intervention was established in the wake of the Thirty Years War, in which ever shifting military alliances ravaged the whole Europe. That was settled in the Peace of Wesphallen, signed in a beautiful building in the town of Muenster, Germany. The powers of that time learned that internal affairs should not be messed with by foreigners. Perhaps because they never really know what is going on in a foreign land. Now the UN tore that principle into pieces.
The fact of the matter is that Libya grew way beyond the sustainability of the land. Khadaffi spent an estimated 20% of its oil revenue digging for water. The information is that the country has been maintained by water taken from six aquifers, which are NOT being replenished. Moreover, nobody knows how big they are nor how much is left. The situation is eerily similar to Yemen's.
No matter how sad it is to admit, the situation in the Middle East is dire, and there is no happy outcome in the offing. The population levels of the whole area must decrease to sustainability. The huge unemployment verified in countries like Libya and Yemen (30 and 35% respectively) is not necessarily a matter of national incompetence. The fact is that poorer societies have a sizable amount of their citizenry working in the fields. However the Libyans and the Yemenis can't afford that solution, for they don't have the necessary water resources for that matter. Yemen is the first country that will run out of water. What is the world going to do with the 20 million people living there? Are they going to be taken in by the Saudis? Would that country survive a sudden population increase of 50%? But if they don't Yemen's national borders will mean nothing but a huge concentration camp.
Thence Rwanda comes back to mind. That country outgrew its land resources. The subdivision of the land by inheritance caused the properties to become so small that they could not provide for the survival of their owners anymore. The situation ended up in a massacre. Why should we think that "This time is different"?
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