Thursday, March 31, 2011

The gamble in Libya may be backfiring




When the Pathetic Trio (the chiefs of the American, British and French administrations) came to light with their fantastic plan to intervene in the Libyan civil war, it was clear to everyone that they did not have unity of thoughts, nor a coherent strategy, nor a clearly defined objective. As a matter of fact not even an incoherent strategy was laid out to the public.

All the people could see was a babble about "humanitarian actions", promises that this or that would not happen, and a show of flip-flopping and hair-splitting in a grand scale. The master piece was the "distinction" made between the regimes in Libya and Syria. Actually if I have to choose which evil is worse, I would say that its the latter. But in any case the intervention happened in order to avoid a bloodbath. OK, let's pretend we believe that statement for a minute and let's dissect its logic vis-a-vis the situation on the ground which derived form the air raids against the regular troops.

1- It is clear to everyone that the rebels can't hold ground, let alone move forward, without massive air support. Nobody should be surprised about that. They lack training and discipline. Whenever they see the regulars retreating under fire from the air, they advance. But whenever the raids wane off and the armed forces shells commence to fall on their positions, they get the hell out.

2- Supplying arms to the rebels is a very stupid game. First of all they will take time to learn how to operate them. Second, one day they may be used against America. Remember Bosnia, Afghanistan, etc.

3- The lack of discipline makes them nothing but a bunch of guys carrying guns around and shooting up in  the air to celebrate good news. If they can not stand an attack until relief comes, there is no way to win a real battle . This is the recipe for being flanked. And flanking is the way to annihilation.

4- The deployment of wave after wave of massive air power can push the regulars back to Tripoli. How is the military command of the Pathetic forces contemplating the idea of taking over that city? With the rebels? I would love to have that optimism in my own blood. If the rebels can't do anything useful for the reasons stated before, then they will have to bomb Tripoli into oblivion.

Huuum but what about that stuff on "preserving civilians from bloodbath"?


Cheers

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